
That outcome is hardly assured
On the eve of what threatens to be the most
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Yet most voters (51 percent) also expect Trump to refuse
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The survey of 1, 501 registered voters, which was conducted from Oct. 30 to Nov. 1, found that 53 percent of likely voters have either already voted for Biden or plan to vote for him by Nov. 3. Just 43 percent of likely voters say they are casting their ballots for Trump. On average, Biden leads Trump nationally by about 7 percentage points. Four years ago, Clinton led Trump by an average of 3. 2 points right
Newport box 100s cigarettes before the election. Clinton wound up winning the national popular vote by 2. 1 points, 48. 2 percent to 46. 1 percent — even as a combined 77, 000 votes in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania put Trump over the top in the Electoral College.
Biden’s lead in the Yahoo News/YouGov survey is slightly smaller than it was two weeks ago (11 points) or one week ago (12 points). Yet the Democrat’s 10-point margin remains larger than it was in early October — and if it holds through Election Day, Biden would become the first candidate since Ronald Reagan in 1984 to win the presidency by double digits. Trump, meanwhile, would become the first incumbent since Herbert Hoover in 1932 to lose by 10 points or more.
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